Transparency and the Pricing of Market Timing


Speaker


Abstract

We find that firms that timed their external financing more in the past (i.e., that issued more capital when market conditions were good) have a lower expected cost of equity than those that timed their issuance less.  These findings are consistent with the hypothesis that the gains from future market-timing activity are priced by current sophisticated long-term investors.  In addition, prior research suggests that transparent firms have more flexibility in issuing equity than opaque firms.  This suggests that transparent firms are in a better position to take advantage of mispricings than opaque firms.  Consistent with this idea, we find that the benefits of a market timing strategy are stronger for firms with transparent accounting or high analyst coverage than for firms with opaque accounting or low analyst coverage.
 
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Paolo Perego
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